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Bulls progress showing in lesser need for Rose to be ridiculously great

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Jonathan Daniel - Getty Images

The Bulls didn't get many games with Joakim Noah and Carlos Boozer in the lineup together last season, heavily increasing, the playing time of Kurt Thomas. Thomas didn't hurt the team, but where his teammates were covering up his deficiencies, consistency in the offense was difficult to execute and often painful to watch.

Tom Thibodeau made the correct trade-off toward a 62-win season -- to sacrifice having more than three scoring options on the court to maintain continuity in the dominance of the defense. No matter how bad the offense, the Bulls were so seldom out of games that they faced blowouts at a rate that felt was within a margin of error for any 60-win team.

The goal of the offseason wasn't to add a shooting guard. The goal was to diversify the offense without the trade-off of their bread and butter -- the defense.

The addition of Richard Hamilton was a means to the end of -- more than lessening the load Derrick Rose was carrying, but -- lessening the need for him to be nearly flawless. Other means to this end was improving Ronnie Brewer's jumpshot, C.J. Watson utilizing his speed and handles more and trust his teammates to follow that pace to force mismatches, more active legs from all wing players to create and find space in sync with the ways in which Rose moves the defense, and that movement being trusted by ball handlers to allow for plays to mature -- even when Rose is off the ball.

The NBA-best 16-3 Bulls' unadjusted plus-minus per 100 possessions is higher this year without Rose on the court than with him on the court, according to BasketballValue.com -- plus-12.49 to plus-11.12 for Rose's minus-1.37 net rating. The offensive rating is higher with Rose (108.53), but the 105.04 without Rose on the court, which is pretty good next to Basketball-Reference.com's (BBR) 102.4 NBA average.*

Star-divide

Sure, Rose is off the court against the worse players on opposing teams and the games played without Rose have largely been against scrubs. But the 2011 meme was that Bulls were average at best if not bad without Rose. Data said otherwise, but that off the table, the Bulls have clearly improved on both ends of the floor without many additions of subtractions on the roster to become arguably the deepest team in the NBA.

Last season Rose's unadjusted plus-minus was a whopping plus-2.43 and the Bulls were only scoring 100.63 per 100 possessions without him on the floor.

  • On the other hand, the Bulls' offensive numbers are through the roof with Hamilton on the floor, scoring 115.19 per 100 possessions in over 224 minutes, compared to 104.04 in just under 640 minutes -- for a plus-1.15 net rating. He's averaging 14.2 PPG, 3.9 APG, shooting a .531 eFG% in nine games this season.
  • And if you look now, the Bulls have had the most efficient offense in the NBA, scoring 108.5 points per 100 possessions, according to BBR, in a year where scoring is 'horribly' down. Sure, they've had the third-weakest schedule so far, in terms of opponents, but they've also played more games (19) than any other team 30 days into the season.
  • That said, the Bulls were tied for seventh-worst at the pick-n-roll, coming into Monday's games. They're handler-screener distribution is about average and the handler's scoring in the top ten, in terms of points per possession. But the screener is scoring a tied-for-second-worst 0.73 PPP. This is why you should care how Boozer scores his points; by staying outside, he's taking a lower-percentage shots with odds of getting to the line at a rate that's irrelevant, leaving a lot of points on the floor. (h/t: Zach Lowe)
  • "It's a scientifically-proven fact that white benchwarming NBA players become crowd favorites more easily than any other type of player," Glenn Davis wrote on the NBA posting Brain Scalabrine 's air reverse to their official YouTube channel.
  • Of the "10 things all big men should know", keeping the ball high advice to Omer Asik and 'not falling in love with jump shots' for Carlos Boozer stick out. It's a excellent post by consultant Mike Procopio, who's worked with Boozer, as well as Joakim Noah and notable players like Kobe Bryant, Kevin Durant, Dwyane Wade, and many others. The information he relays can aid the NBA enthusiast as much as the casual observer in better understanding how to watch the game. (h/t: Henry Abbott)
  • Not all shots are the same, hence the value of effective FG% over the flatter FG%, but it's still slightly flawed in discovering shot efficiency. Buzzer-beating shots behind the halfcourt line lower both, along with 3P%. All ball handlers attempt these shots so they even out comparing volume shooters across the league, but they slightly skew the data we have to analyze the efficiency of shooters. Ethan Sherwood Strauss has an ingenious solution: treat them as fouled shots, where they only count if they go in. This makes sense as no one selects these shots; they're forced and distorted by the situation.
  • What Scal already knows has him on a path toward broadcasting or coaching, but that he's actively learning shows he's taking an equivalent of knowledge he's giving. He said in an interview with SLAM, showing he's much more than a fan mascot:
    It's all about the goal of guys getting better. But practice isn't like a marathon for me to do that, I don't have to play Omer to 21 or something like that. It's more like two or three possessions, going bang, bang, bang, those types of things, and competing. I'm willing to help every player on the Bulls, but my focus is really on wanting to help the bigs keep getting better. I want to help them understand defensively what we want to do on pick-and-rolls for example, and offensively getting into the paint, or setting the screen, being ready to go up strong, getting the ball in the post, that sort of thing. Those are the things I work on with guys at practice. And I'm not saying I know how to do everything either, and even right now with Derrick sitting on the sidelines, he's been showing me different things about how guards are, about how to guard certain guys, you can't do this, you don't want to do that, and I'm just always trying to learn more about the game every day. Along with that, I'm also trying to pass on the things I already know from being with [Thibs] for five years to our bigs.

* -- BasketballValue.com doesn't post the NBA averages. According to their method, the Bulls' ORtg is 106.99, compared to BBR's 108.5 and Hoopdata.com's 104.4, so I assume the former's method is closer to BasketballValue.com's than Hoopdata.

2 recs  |  39 comments

Comments

“It’s a scientifically-proven fact that white benchwarming NBA players become crowd favorites more easily than any other type of player,” Glenn Davis wrote

Big Baby can write!?!?!?

But he can't jump. Envious of Scal's off the chart athleticism Big Baby??
compared to Big Loser

scal’s athleticism is off the charts.

nice writeup

glad to see you back with posts..i thought yfbb got mad at the fact that..you know, you actually write shyt ..consistently =p

I think yfBB was promised complete autonomy
Meh, if roles were reversed, you'd phrase that the other way around.

#LOLOMGWTFMETA!!!!

If the screener mixed in his pops and rolls, it puts so much pressure on the D

screen roll doesn’t have to result in points from the handler or screener, the next pass (the hockey assist) can lead to an even easier shot.

Having said that, it would be great if Boozer, Noah, Omer, would scrape off Roses man, where he is struggling to go over the screen, allowing Derrick more room to shoot or make a better pass.

Last night Rip and Noah ran it and JO rolled to the rim, got the pass, and converted. The screener has to roll hard to the rim, I’m looking at you, Booze. 90% pop and 10% roll

maybe Derrick is to blame, as he never really needed screens in HS and Memphis
This is all without training camp for Christ sake

Imagine what they would look like with practice.

How could anyone not wanna come to Chicago after seeing what Thibs is capable of?

If I was ever declining as a player and my value was dropping, I’d do whatever possible to wear a Bulls uniform

I believe, "Fuck" is the appropriate reaction to this news.
Deng has torn ligament in left hand

http://twitter.com/KCJHoop/status/161898206039511040

As reported today, Deng’s plan is to avoid surgery and try to play through pain. Out couple weeks initially.

http://twitter.com/KCJHoop/status/161898581970792448

We'll see

Noah opted for surgery because he just couldn’t do it. Deng may be able to fight through it. Luckily, it is the left hand. Does anyone know of a player who successfully dealt with this injury without surgery?

That said, he'd still be back for playoffs

He’d prolly even get 10 to 20 games too get back into the swing of things. He could also keep up with conditioning as the time to come back drew closer.

He won't have surgery though which is a good thing

He’s still day to day and it’s on his non shooting wrist.

I’d be worried if surgery was the route. He can take care of that in the offseason

I could care less about his Olympic stint

still

i’m concerned because what if he can’t and then in 2 weeks he decides he does need surgery? i’d rather him just do it now…

Right, and there's also the possibility that when he comes back, he won't be 100% because he didn't have the surgery.
When I had my ACL repaired

The doc explained to me that surgery was necessary because the other ligaments in the area would pinch off the ruptured ACL and prevent bloodflow and as a result, prevent it from healing on it’s own. As I understood it at the time that’s a rare situation since the ligaments cross each other in the knee. I don’t think (but i’m not a Doc so I don’t know) that this isn’t the case in Deng’s wrist.
Point being, if surgery was known to be necessary in order to get back to normal, they’d probably be doing it. Relying on rest/therapy implies it can (possibly) heal without intrusion, which is greatly preferred. Both my knees are “normal” in terms of what I can do movement-wise, but I can still tell they’ve had work done, mostly from where they sliced in to get the graft from my patellar tendon.

Because then he's shut down for the season. Lu obviously doesn't want another season-ending injury hanging over him
if he's out till march (6-8 weeks)

there’s still plenty left of the season…

hand or wrist?
He's dribbling with his left.
Mike McGraw @McGrawDHBulls Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
How long will Deng be out? Not sure. Thibs said he dribbled with his left hand and is feeling better today.
McGraw update on Taj, Noah, Rose
Mike McGraw @McGrawDHBulls Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Tak moving around & shooting, looks like he could be back relatively soon. Rose, Noah said to be fine.
Mike McGraw @McGrawDHBulls Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
That’s Taj Gibson, not Tak
I hope we get him back before the Playoff's now

No need for the Bulls to pull a Culter and end up like the Bears

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